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More Standards Brutally Gutted, Left To Bleed Out In Dark Alleys: LSATs Dropped Because Diversity
Nov 23, 2022
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William M Briggs

Statistician to the Stars! Ex-SSgt.

EVERYTHING YOU BELIEVE IS WRONG

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One thing we should know about models by now is that those that make good, skillful predictions should be trusted at least more than those that make predictions that never come true.

Yes?

Here are two models making predictions about the same thing. Let's look at both and see which one should be accorded more trust.

Model A: Equality. All people are really equal in capability and potential, but differ in material and cultural circumstance. These differences lead to inequalities in outcome, particularly in the outcomes of Diversity, which is variously defined as all "minorities" to mostly "minorities" in some area, and Equity, in which all but rulers and elites are made equal in material circumstance.

Equality predicts that if inequalities in circumstance and culture are removed or eliminated early, Equity and Diversity will obtain, and social harmony will result.

Model B: Inequality. No two people are equal in capability and potentiality, and that even if material and cultural circumstances are made perfectly equal, inequity would still result because of innate differences which can be never be removed.

Inequality predicts that if people come to understand their own always-limited-by-circumstance-and-cultural strengths and weaknesses, we will come closer to, but never achieve, social harmony.

Comment and more at https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/43659/

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